IRAN WAR
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Even a fragile ceasefire creates the illusion that a resolution pathway is in progress. In such highly contentious regions as the Middle East, ceasefires frequently function as transitional phases between confrontation, rather than endpoints. The key question in the United States’ current standoff with Iran and its regional proxies is not whether hostilities have paused, or whether there are clear prospects for resolving the conflict in the near term, but whether the underlying causes and incentives for conflict have meaningfully changed. In short, they have not.
