IRAN’S NUKES
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Breakout timelines were fundamental to negotiating the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The United States insisted on setting limits on Iran’s centrifuge program that, if reversed, would require 12 months to produce enough weapon-grade uranium (WGU) for a nuclear weapon. Re-imposing those same limits today could not achieve a 12-month breakout timeline, only about a four-to-five-month timeline. Worse, in subsequent months, Iran could more rapidly accumulate significant quantities of WGU than under the original deal.
